EUR/GBP remains on the defensive below 0.8700 mark post-Eurozone PMIs for October

EUR/GBP remains on the defensive below 0.8700 mark post-Eurozone PMIs for October

EUR/GBP recovers a few pips from the daily low, though lacks follow-through.
Looming recession risks weigh on the euro and act as a headwind for the cross.
Aggressive ECB rate hike bets offer some support and help limit the downside.

The EUR/GBP cross opens with a modest bearish gap on the first day of a new week, though finds support ahead of mid-0.8600s and recovers a few pips from a multi-day low. The cross, however, remains on the defensive through the early European session and is currently trading with modest intraday losses, below the 0.8700 mark.

The shared currency’s relative underperformance comes amid the protracted Russia-Ukraine war, which could lead to a deeper economic downturn in the Eurozone. The fears were further fueled by the rather unimpressive flash Eurozone PMI prints released this Monday. S&P Global reported that business activity in Germany’s manufacturing sector continued to contract at a faster pace in early October.

Adding to this, the flash Eurozone Manufacturing PMI slumped to 46.6 in October against estimates for a reading of 47.8, revealing a further contraction in the business activity. Moreover, the Services PMI edged lower to 48.2 from 48.8 as expected and the Composite PMI declined to 47.1 from 48.1. Apart from this, a strong pickup in the US dollar demand is further weighing on the common currency.

That said, rising bets for another jumbo 75 bps rate increase by the European Central Bank act as a tailwind for the euro. Hence, the focus remains glued to this week’s ECB monetary policy meeting. In the meantime, diminishing odds for a bigger 100 bps rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE) in November keeps a lid on any meaningful upside for sterling and helps limit losses for the EUR/GBP cross.

Technical levels to watch

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *